Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Amafort
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Izibulo 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 66 74 72 +6 2 Mystique Rouge 3 54.5 2 0.50 4.0 59 64 64 +5 3 Amafort 3 54.0 3 1.30 4.0 61 61 61 +0 4 Fate Decreed 3 52.5 4 1.50 4.0 54 58 58 +4 5 Blind Speed 2 58.5 5 1.90 0.0 67 78 78 +11 6 Oh My Gucci Girl 3 51.5 6 2.95 4.0 61 55 55 -6 7 The Queen Bee 4 50.5 7 3.75 2.5 56 55 55 -1 8 Nautical Landing 3 58.0 8 4.55 4.0 66 66 66 +0 9 Futano 3 56.0 9 8.95 4.0 62 62 62 +0 99 Copacabana 4 59.5 99 0.00 2.5 - 72 72 +0 99 Bella Valentina 3 62.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 74 74 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izibulo | 66 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mystique Rouge | 59 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Amafort Line | 61 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Fate Decreed | 54 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Blind Speed | 67 | 65 | 78 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Oh My Gucci Girl | 61 | 62 | 55 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | The Queen Bee | 56 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Nautical Landing | 66 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Futano | 62 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Copacabana | - | 74 | 72 | +2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bella Valentina | - | 81 | 74 | +7 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points