Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 27 JANUARY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Prized Platinum
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Never Never Land 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 81 74 81 +0 2 Prized Platinum 3 59.5 2 0.80 5.0 73 73 73 +0 3 Union Rose 3 59.0 3 5.10 5.0 75 72 72 -3 4 Lava Fire 3 57.5 4 5.35 5.0 69 69 69 +0 5 Tana Maree 4 59.5 5 6.85 6.0 73 71 71 -2 6 Palace Revolt 2 59.0 6 7.15 3.5 72 75 75 +3 7 Prophet 2 59.0 7 7.45 3.5 72 75 75 +3 8 Princess Lola 2 54.5 8 8.45 3.5 63 66 66 +3 9 Inspiration 2 60.0 9 9.95 3.5 81 77 77 -4 10 Western Wishes 5 60.0 10 10.20 0.0 74 84 84 +10 11 Falcon Strike 2 54.0 11 14.30 3.5 62 65 65 +3 12 Sail The Sky 4 52.0 12 14.35 6.0 66 56 56 -10 99 King Bluetooth 2 52.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Never Never Land | 81 | 85 | 81 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Prized Platinum Line | 73 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Union Rose | 75 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Lava Fire | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Tana Maree | 73 | 72 | 71 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Palace Revolt | 72 | 64 | 75 | -11 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Prophet | 72 | 66 | 75 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Princess Lola | 63 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Inspiration | 81 | 79 | 77 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Western Wishes | 74 | 74 | 84 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Falcon Strike | 62 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Sail The Sky | 66 | 62 | 56 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | King Bluetooth | - | 53 | 61 | -8 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points