Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FRANSCHHOEK MOTOR MUSEUM CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Mauritius Kestrel
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
8 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kelp Forest 5 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 79 89 85 +6 2 Miraculous 3 58.5 2 0.40 5.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Mauritius Kestrel 3 60.0 3 0.70 5.0 82 82 82 +0 4 Catch A Penny 3 59.5 4 1.10 5.0 81 81 81 +0 5 Follow Your Heart 2 60.5 5 1.85 3.5 90 86 86 -4 6 Nightrain 2 58.0 6 2.15 3.5 85 81 81 -4 7 Spirit 2 60.0 7 2.20 3.5 89 85 85 -4 8 Azzurri 4 58.0 8 3.70 6.0 78 76 76 -2 9 Ireland Forever 2 59.5 9 4.45 3.5 88 84 84 -4 10 Match That 2 59.5 10 5.70 3.5 88 84 84 -4 11 Loving Prague (AUS) 3 58.5 11 5.75 5.0 86 79 79 -7 12 Street Outlaw 5 59.5 12 9.00 0.0 81 91 91 +10 13 Surge Of Power 2 59.0 13 11.75 3.5 80 83 83 +3 14 Elsinore 3 59.0 14 13.00 5.0 80 80 80 +0 15 Run For Cover 5 58.0 15 18.00 0.0 78 88 88 +10 99 Rhydian 2 57.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 79 79 +0 99 Show Off 3 57.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 76 76 +0 99 Steadfast 2 57.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kelp Forest | 79 | 81 | 85 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Miraculous | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mauritius Kestrel Line | 82 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Catch A Penny | 81 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Follow Your Heart | 90 | 88 | 86 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Nightrain | 85 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Spirit | 89 | 91 | 85 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Azzurri | 78 | 77 | 76 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ireland Forever | 88 | 88 | 84 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Match That | 88 | 88 | 84 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Loving Prague (AUS) | 86 | 83 | 79 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Street Outlaw | 81 | 78 | 91 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Surge Of Power | 80 | 80 | 83 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 14 | Elsinore | 80 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 15 | Run For Cover | 78 | 70 | 88 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rhydian | - | 72 | 79 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Show Off | - | 77 | 76 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Steadfast | - | 75 | 79 | -4 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points