Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: CAPE OF GOOD HOPE CHAIRMAN'S CUP (Grade 3) (Open)
Line Horse
Ahead Of The Facts
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Holding Thumbs 4 62.0 1 0.00 4.5 117 120 120 +3 2 Magic Verse 3 62.0 2 0.75 8.0 113 118 118 +5 3 Lavender Bay 4 50.0 3 2.25 4.5 87 100 100 +13 4 Ahead Of The Facts 3 52.0 4 2.65 8.0 97 97 97 +0 5 Master Of Paris 4 50.0 5 4.65 4.5 87 97 97 +10 6 Daimyo 3 54.0 6 4.95 8.0 99 97 97 -2 7 George Handel 4 50.0 7 7.20 4.5 86 96 96 +10 8 Triple Time 5 58.0 8 7.95 0.0 108 121 121 +13 9 World Of Alice 3 53.5 9 10.20 8.0 106 96 96 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holding Thumbs | 117 | 119 | 120 | -1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Magic Verse | 113 | 115 | 118 | -3 | 8.0 | - | |
| 3 | Lavender Bay | 87 | 95 | 100 | -5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Ahead Of The Facts Line | 97 | 110 | 97 | +13 | 8.0 | ||
| 5 | Master Of Paris | 87 | 87 | 97 | -10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Daimyo | 99 | 105 | 97 | +8 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | George Handel | 86 | 85 | 96 | -11 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Triple Time | 108 | 105 | 121 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | World Of Alice | 106 | 104 | 96 | +8 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points