Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 17 JANUARY MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Tiger Storm
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 18
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
10 / 18
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 18
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    There She Goes       6    59.0    1    0.00     0.0   72    82           72    +0
2    Saketini             2    61.0    2    1.30     3.5   83    79           79    -4
3    His Lordship         3    61.5    3    1.35     5.0   77    77           77    +0
4    Tiger Storm          3    58.0    4    1.60     5.0   70    70           70    +0
5    Lonely As A Cloud    3    58.5    5    1.90     5.0   71    71           71    +0
6    One Tiger            2    60.5    6    2.80     3.5   82    78           78    -4
7    Deal Maker (GB)      3    57.5    7    3.00     5.0   77    69           69    -8
8    Time Will Tell       2    55.5    8    3.50     3.5   72    68           68    -4
9    Abound               4    63.0    9    3.75     6.0   80    78           78    -2
10   Blindfire            2    56.0    10   4.75     3.5   76    69           69    -7
11   Daring Act           4    54.5    11   5.05     6.0   63    61           61    -2
12   Phala Millions       4    56.5    12   5.55     6.0   67    65           65    -2
13   Oriental Bouquet     4    52.0    13   5.75     6.0   54    56           56    +2
14   Nkandla Gold         4    57.0    14   6.55     6.0   68    66           66    -2
15   In The Ether         6    53.5    15   6.95     0.0   66    71           71    +5
16   Misty Metal          3    59.0    16   8.05     5.0   72    72           72    +0
17   Circus Lights        5    55.0    17   99.99    0.0   64    74           74    +10
99   Inafix               4    58.0    99   0.00     6.0   -     68           68    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 There She Goes 72 77 72 +5 0.0 -
2 Saketini 83 83 79 +4 3.5 -
3 His Lordship 77 85 77 +8 5.0 -
4 Tiger Storm Line 70 69 70 -1 5.0
5 Lonely As A Cloud 71 71 71 ✓ Match 5.0 -
6 One Tiger 82 80 78 +2 3.5 -
7 Deal Maker (GB) 77 77 69 +8 5.0 -
8 Time Will Tell 72 69 68 +1 3.5 -
9 Abound 80 77 78 -1 6.0 -
10 Blindfire 76 81 69 +12 3.5 -
11 Daring Act 63 60 61 -1 6.0 -
12 Phala Millions 67 66 65 +1 6.0 -
13 Oriental Bouquet 54 56 56 ✓ Match 6.0 -
14 Nkandla Gold 68 63 66 -3 6.0 -
15 In The Ether 66 63 71 -8 0.0 -
16 Misty Metal 72 71 72 -1 5.0 -
17 Circus Lights 64 64 74 -10 0.0 -
99 Inafix - 69 68 +1 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points