Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Jazz Diva
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
4 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Dawn Surprise 4 58.0 1 0.00 6.0 69 64 64 -5 2 Jazz Diva 3 60.0 2 0.30 5.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Queen Fenn 3 58.5 3 0.35 5.0 67 67 67 +0 4 Nile The Boss 4 52.0 4 1.15 6.0 52 52 52 +0 5 Time In Paris 4 57.5 5 1.45 6.0 65 63 63 -2 6 Greenlight Queen 3 57.5 6 2.15 5.0 65 65 65 +0 7 Di Rosa 4 55.5 7 2.30 6.0 61 59 59 -2 8 Grue Of Ice 6 48.0 8 2.60 0.0 53 56 56 +3 9 Ruby Claire 3 53.5 9 2.80 5.0 57 57 57 +0 10 Whirlybird 2 58.5 10 3.40 3.5 75 70 70 -5 11 Quentasia 4 52.0 11 8.10 6.0 59 52 52 -7 12 Predatrice 3 57.0 12 18.80 5.0 67 64 64 -3 99 Gorgeous Bomb 3 56.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dawn Surprise | 69 | 79 | 64 | +15 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Jazz Diva Line | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Queen Fenn | 67 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Nile The Boss | 52 | 52 | 52 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Time In Paris | 65 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Greenlight Queen | 65 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Di Rosa | 61 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Grue Of Ice | 53 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ruby Claire | 57 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Whirlybird | 75 | 73 | 70 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Quentasia | 59 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Predatrice | 67 | 67 | 64 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gorgeous Bomb | - | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points