Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: SA DERBY 4 APRIL MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Littlemisssplendid
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Titans Of War 2 56.0 1 0.00 0.0 88 88 88 +0 2 Littlemisssplendid 2 53.5 2 0.25 0.0 83 83 83 +0 3 Flashy Apache 6 58.5 3 0.30 0.0 81 100 100 +19 4 One More Star 3 58.0 4 0.70 6.0 81 87 87 +6 5 Arumugam 6 57.0 5 0.90 0.0 78 96 96 +18 6 Storm Ahead 4 56.0 6 0.95 3.0 76 88 88 +12 7 Palace Attack 2 56.5 7 1.95 0.0 89 94 94 +5 8 Bellerophon 3 53.0 8 2.20 6.0 85 75 75 -10 9 Military Moves 2 52.5 9 3.20 0.0 81 84 84 +3 10 Diesel's Shadow 4 55.0 10 4.20 3.0 82 82 82 +0 11 Futurewolff 5 55.0 11 4.50 0.0 74 87 87 +13 12 Eiger Sanction 3 58.5 12 5.50 6.0 81 81 81 +0 13 Battleground 5 61.5 13 6.60 0.0 90 99 99 +9 99 Equilateral 3 53.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titans Of War | 88 | 91 | 88 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Littlemisssplendid Line | 83 | 84 | 83 | +1 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Flashy Apache | 81 | 78 | 100 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | One More Star | 81 | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Arumugam | 78 | 74 | 96 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Storm Ahead | 76 | 80 | 88 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Palace Attack | 89 | 86 | 94 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bellerophon | 85 | 89 | 75 | +14 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Military Moves | 81 | 75 | 84 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Diesel's Shadow | 82 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Futurewolff | 74 | 75 | 87 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Eiger Sanction | 81 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Battleground | 90 | 92 | 99 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Equilateral | - | 82 | 70 | +12 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points