Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: #YOUCANBETONUS! MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Rockie Blue
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 17
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 17
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 17
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Overture 3 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 - 5 5 +5 2 Rockie Blue 3 57.5 2 0.75 5.0 - - - +0 3 Here Comes Johnny 3 56.0 3 4.00 5.0 - -3 - +0 4 Atlantic Pearl 2 57.5 4 5.25 3.5 68 3 58 -10 5 Susurrando 3 60.0 5 6.00 5.0 66 5 56 -10 6 Sun Eclipse 3 58.0 6 6.25 5.0 - 1 1 +1 7 Magnus The Good 2 60.0 7 6.35 3.5 75 8 65 -10 8 River Fern 2 56.0 8 8.85 3.5 75 - 68 -7 9 Bomber Stream 4 57.5 9 8.95 6.0 53 -2 43 -10 10 Bright Eruption 2 60.0 10 9.00 3.5 67 8 57 -10 11 Star Trooper 3 60.0 11 12.25 5.0 56 5 46 -10 12 Focal Point 2 57.5 12 12.35 3.5 71 3 61 -10 13 Global Chief 3 60.0 13 13.85 5.0 54 5 44 -10 14 Looking Good 2 57.5 14 20.85 3.5 60 3 50 -10 15 Down Town Cody 2 60.0 15 33.60 3.5 70 8 60 -10 99 Bourne Supremacy 2 60.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 8 8 +0 99 Norse Warrior 2 60.0 99 0.00 3.5 - 8 8 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Overture | - | 81 | 5 | +76 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rockie Blue Line | - | 71 | - | +71 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Here Comes Johnny | - | 71 | - | +71 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Atlantic Pearl | 68 | 72 | 58 | +14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Susurrando | 66 | 74 | 56 | +18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sun Eclipse | - | - | 1 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Magnus The Good | 75 | 74 | 65 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | River Fern | 75 | 73 | 68 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Bomber Stream | 53 | 52 | 43 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Bright Eruption | 67 | 67 | 57 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Star Trooper | 56 | 51 | 46 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Focal Point | 71 | 64 | 61 | +3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 13 | Global Chief | 54 | 51 | 44 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Looking Good | 60 | 64 | 50 | +14 | 3.5 | - | |
| 15 | Down Town Cody | 70 | 70 | 60 | +10 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bourne Supremacy | - | 78 | 8 | +70 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Norse Warrior | - | 56 | 8 | +48 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points