Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 23 JANUARY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Garden Sun
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sesame 3 59.0 1 0.00 6.0 67 64 67 +0 2 Rototo 3 57.0 2 2.75 6.0 61 63 63 +2 3 Garden Sun 3 60.0 3 3.00 6.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Only A Poet 3 55.0 4 5.25 6.0 61 56 56 -5 5 Amazing Colours 4 52.5 5 7.75 3.0 61 57 57 -4 6 Golden Grey 4 59.5 6 9.00 3.0 67 71 71 +4 7 King Of Victory 2 59.5 7 10.50 0.0 79 77 77 -2 8 Donny's Boy 3 58.5 8 11.75 6.0 66 63 63 -3 9 Arividicio 5 53.5 9 13.00 0.0 55 65 65 +10 10 Outback Express 2 58.5 10 13.25 0.0 77 75 75 -2 11 Global Drumbeat 3 54.0 11 14.25 6.0 65 54 55 -10 12 City Of Port Louis 2 57.0 12 16.00 0.0 63 72 72 +9 13 Future Saint 4 51.0 13 16.50 3.0 55 54 54 -1 14 Global Speak 3 59.0 14 17.50 6.0 67 64 64 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sesame | 67 | 78 | 67 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Rototo | 61 | 61 | 63 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Garden Sun Line | 69 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Only A Poet | 61 | 59 | 56 | +3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Amazing Colours | 61 | 59 | 57 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Golden Grey | 67 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | King Of Victory | 79 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Donny's Boy | 66 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Arividicio | 55 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Outback Express | 77 | 71 | 75 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Global Drumbeat | 65 | 65 | 55 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | City Of Port Louis | 63 | 63 | 72 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Future Saint | 55 | 53 | 54 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 14 | Global Speak | 67 | 64 | 64 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points