Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 23 JANUARY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Garden Sun
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Sesame               3    59.0    1    0.00     6.0   67    64           67    +0
2    Rototo               3    57.0    2    2.75     6.0   61    63           63    +2
3    Garden Sun           3    60.0    3    3.00     6.0   69    69           69    +0
4    Only A Poet          3    55.0    4    5.25     6.0   61    56           56    -5
5    Amazing Colours      4    52.5    5    7.75     3.0   61    57           57    -4
6    Golden Grey          4    59.5    6    9.00     3.0   67    71           71    +4
7    King Of Victory      2    59.5    7    10.50    0.0   79    77           77    -2
8    Donny's Boy          3    58.5    8    11.75    6.0   66    63           63    -3
9    Arividicio           5    53.5    9    13.00    0.0   55    65           65    +10
10   Outback Express      2    58.5    10   13.25    0.0   77    75           75    -2
11   Global Drumbeat      3    54.0    11   14.25    6.0   65    54           55    -10
12   City Of Port Louis   2    57.0    12   16.00    0.0   63    72           72    +9
13   Future Saint         4    51.0    13   16.50    3.0   55    54           54    -1
14   Global Speak         3    59.0    14   17.50    6.0   67    64           64    -3
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Sesame 67 78 67 +11 6.0 -
2 Rototo 61 61 63 -2 6.0 -
3 Garden Sun Line 69 69 69 ✓ Match 6.0
4 Only A Poet 61 59 56 +3 6.0 -
5 Amazing Colours 61 59 57 +2 3.0 -
6 Golden Grey 67 64 71 -7 3.0 -
7 King Of Victory 79 77 77 ✓ Match 0.0 -
8 Donny's Boy 66 68 63 +5 6.0 -
9 Arividicio 55 50 65 -15 0.0 -
10 Outback Express 77 71 75 -4 0.0 -
11 Global Drumbeat 65 65 55 +10 6.0 -
12 City Of Port Louis 63 63 72 -9 0.0 -
13 Future Saint 55 53 54 -1 3.0 -
14 Global Speak 67 64 64 ✓ Match 6.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points