Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: GOLD CIRCLE RACING YOUTUBE CHANNEL MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Grey Ocean
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Joshua Hotsnake 3 54.0 1 0.00 3.0 66 63 66 +0 2 Grey Ocean 4 56.5 2 1.30 3.5 67 67 67 +0 3 Northern Warrior 7 54.0 3 1.45 0.0 65 69 69 +4 4 We All Chomies 5 52.0 4 1.65 0.0 61 65 65 +4 5 Callmemrgreenlight 3 53.5 5 1.75 3.0 65 62 62 -3 6 Queue Wing 7 57.0 6 1.90 0.0 68 75 75 +7 7 Mount Greylock 4 60.0 7 2.15 3.5 74 74 74 +0 8 Global Secret 3 51.5 8 5.05 3.0 69 58 59 -10 9 Quant Master 5 60.5 9 6.05 0.0 75 82 82 +7 10 Trade War 3 61.0 10 6.10 3.0 80 77 77 -3 11 New Orleans 3 54.5 11 7.40 3.0 66 64 64 -2 12 Palace Wind 5 50.5 12 8.90 0.0 57 62 62 +5 13 Gunsmoke 3 55.5 13 12.70 3.0 74 66 66 -8 99 Royal Oasis 3 52.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 59 59 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joshua Hotsnake | 66 | 67 | 66 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Grey Ocean Line | 67 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 3.5 | ||
| 3 | Northern Warrior | 65 | 73 | 69 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | We All Chomies | 61 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Callmemrgreenlight | 65 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Queue Wing | 68 | 81 | 75 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mount Greylock | 74 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Global Secret | 69 | 66 | 59 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Quant Master | 75 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Trade War | 80 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | New Orleans | 66 | 61 | 64 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Palace Wind | 57 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Gunsmoke | 74 | 68 | 66 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Royal Oasis | - | 61 | 59 | +2 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points