Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: GUINEAS DAY 7 FEBRUARY PROGRESS PLATE (1,2 & 3 time winners & Maidens)
Line Horse
Bristol Hercules
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Taegan's Champ 3 60.5 1 0.00 6.0 103 82 78 -25 2 Hotarubi 4 54.5 2 1.75 3.0 101 79 91 -10 3 Bristol Hercules 2 57.0 3 4.50 0.0 87 87 87 +0 4 Step Into It 2 53.0 4 11.25 0.0 83 79 79 -4 99 My Lucky Charm 3 51.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 64 64 +0 99 Zanthar 3 55.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 71 71 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taegan's Champ | 103 | 103 | 78 | +25 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hotarubi | 101 | 98 | 91 | +7 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bristol Hercules Line | 87 | 87 | 87 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Step Into It | 83 | 76 | 79 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | My Lucky Charm | - | 73 | 64 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Zanthar | - | 80 | 71 | +9 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points