Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: SA DERBY 4 APRIL MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Crepuscolo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Copper Cliff 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 71 68 71 +0 2 Full Go 6 52.0 2 1.00 0.0 52 65 65 +13 3 Repetition 3 60.0 3 1.20 6.0 75 69 69 -6 4 Crepuscolo 4 52.0 4 1.40 3.0 58 58 58 +0 5 Romeo's Magic 7 59.5 5 1.50 0.0 73 79 79 +6 6 Real Stunner 3 60.0 6 2.75 6.0 75 66 66 -9 7 Majalun 3 55.5 7 4.05 6.0 65 56 56 -9 8 Sky Pillar Rock 3 57.5 8 7.75 6.0 78 58 68 -10 9 Flag Bearer 3 52.5 9 11.00 6.0 64 48 54 -10 99 Bellerophon 3 58.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 59 59 +0 99 Equilateral 3 55.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Copper Cliff | 71 | 75 | 71 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Full Go | 52 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Repetition | 75 | 74 | 69 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Crepuscolo Line | 58 | 58 | 58 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 5 | Romeo's Magic | 73 | 73 | 79 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Real Stunner | 75 | 74 | 66 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Majalun | 65 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 8 | Sky Pillar Rock | 78 | 81 | 68 | +13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Flag Bearer | 64 | 60 | 54 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bellerophon | - | 89 | 59 | +30 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Equilateral | - | 82 | 54 | +28 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points