Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 27 JANUARY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Kotinos
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Zoombomber 2 56.0 1 0.00 3.5 58 61 58 +0 2 Kotinos 3 58.5 2 0.10 5.0 63 63 63 +0 3 Hathighwaytothesky 3 59.0 3 0.40 5.0 79 64 69 -10 4 Time For Charity 5 59.0 4 0.80 0.0 64 74 74 +10 5 Misty Metal 3 61.5 5 2.00 5.0 72 69 69 -3 6 Tiger Storm 3 59.5 6 3.50 5.0 70 65 65 -5 7 Prophet 2 61.5 7 3.70 3.5 69 72 72 +3 8 Together Again 5 53.0 8 4.00 0.0 60 62 62 +2 9 Legendary 2 61.0 9 4.20 3.5 71 71 71 +0 10 Concordia 2 60.0 10 4.40 3.5 73 69 69 -4 11 Bay Empire 2 59.5 11 7.50 3.5 70 68 68 -2 12 Summer Shade 4 55.5 12 8.90 6.0 57 55 55 -2 13 Blurred Vision 3 57.0 13 9.90 5.0 60 60 60 +0 14 Pacific 4 52.0 14 11.00 6.0 50 48 48 -2 15 Universal Girl (IRE 4 59.5 15 13.75 6.0 65 63 63 -2 99 Gal Gadot 8 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 60 60 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zoombomber | 58 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Kotinos Line | 63 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Hathighwaytothesky | 79 | 87 | 69 | +18 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Time For Charity | 64 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Misty Metal | 72 | 71 | 69 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tiger Storm | 70 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Prophet | 69 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Together Again | 60 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Legendary | 71 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Concordia | 73 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Bay Empire | 70 | 62 | 68 | -6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Summer Shade | 57 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Blurred Vision | 60 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Pacific | 50 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 15 | Universal Girl (IRE) | 65 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gal Gadot | - | 50 | 60 | -10 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points