Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Prom Queen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Happy Fortune 3 58.0 1 0.00 4.0 77 73 73 -4 2 Gorgeous Girl 4 51.0 2 0.30 2.5 71 67 67 -4 3 Prom Queen 3 60.0 3 1.20 4.0 81 81 81 +0 4 Siberian Winter 3 57.5 4 1.80 4.0 79 75 75 -4 5 Acacia's Blossom 2 50.5 5 2.85 0.0 67 68 68 +1 6 Mrsglittersparkles 2 57.5 6 3.95 0.0 85 81 81 -4 7 Blue Poppy 3 56.5 7 5.55 4.0 83 70 73 -10 8 Moving In 4 52.5 8 6.45 2.5 71 65 65 -6 9 Shesha Ntombi 3 57.0 9 9.45 4.0 75 71 71 -4 10 Sneeuwitjie 2 51.5 10 27.75 0.0 76 68 68 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Happy Fortune | 77 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Gorgeous Girl | 71 | 74 | 67 | +7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Prom Queen Line | 81 | 81 | 81 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | ||
| 4 | Siberian Winter | 79 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Acacia's Blossom | 67 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mrsglittersparkles | 85 | 82 | 81 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Blue Poppy | 83 | 84 | 73 | +11 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Moving In | 71 | 66 | 65 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Shesha Ntombi | 75 | 74 | 71 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | Sneeuwitjie | 76 | 75 | 68 | +7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points