Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING SATURDAY 24 JANUARY FM 75 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Bright And Brazen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fair Proposal 2 57.5 1 0.00 0.0 80 79 80 +0 2 Lady Elliot 2 58.0 2 0.40 0.0 71 85 85 +14 3 Bright And Brazen 2 58.5 3 1.10 0.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Opera Fan 2 57.0 4 2.70 0.0 82 80 80 -2 5 Pearl In Her Crown 2 56.5 5 4.30 0.0 68 77 77 +9 6 World Heritage 2 48.0 6 5.90 0.0 53 60 60 +7 7 Far Reaching 2 56.0 7 7.10 0.0 67 76 76 +9 8 Far Beyond 2 58.5 8 15.50 0.0 82 81 81 -1 99 Rattle Bag 6 58.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 99 Play With The Wind 3 62.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 78 78 +0 99 Golden Aspen 6 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fair Proposal | 80 | 83 | 80 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Lady Elliot | 71 | 71 | 85 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Bright And Brazen Line | 85 | 97 | 85 | +12 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Opera Fan | 82 | 81 | 80 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Pearl In Her Crown | 68 | 72 | 77 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | World Heritage | 53 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Far Reaching | 67 | 63 | 76 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Far Beyond | 82 | 82 | 81 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Rattle Bag | - | 71 | 80 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Play With The Wind | - | 80 | 78 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Golden Aspen | - | 66 | 69 | -3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points