Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Engelandpark
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Laydelay 2 59.5 1 0.00 3.5 74 74 74 +0 2 Iced Marmalade 2 54.5 2 1.25 3.5 64 64 64 +0 3 Engelandpark 2 58.0 3 5.00 3.5 71 71 71 +0 4 Tipsy 3 61.0 4 5.25 5.0 - 74 74 +74 5 Elusive Bomba 3 49.5 5 5.30 5.0 55 51 51 -4 6 Night In Japan 3 50.5 6 6.55 5.0 51 53 53 +2 7 Kentucky Lassie 3 59.5 7 6.80 5.0 74 71 71 -3 8 Mme Huntress 3 57.0 8 9.05 5.0 77 66 67 -10 9 Misspeacekeeper 3 61.0 9 9.80 5.0 - 74 74 +74 10 Ice Spear 2 55.5 10 14.05 3.5 66 66 66 +0 99 Alleyah's Rocket 3 51.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 55 55 +0 99 Sombreuil 2 57.5 99 0.00 3.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laydelay | 74 | 76 | 74 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Iced Marmalade | 64 | 73 | 64 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Engelandpark Line | 71 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Tipsy | - | 67 | 74 | -7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Elusive Bomba | 55 | 59 | 51 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Night In Japan | 51 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kentucky Lassie | 74 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mme Huntress | 77 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Misspeacekeeper | - | - | 74 | -74 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ice Spear | 66 | 64 | 66 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Alleyah's Rocket | - | 56 | 55 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sombreuil | - | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points