Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAB DR RICHARD MAPONYA HANDICAP (Listed) (Open)
Line Horse
Willy Meet Again
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Aristotle 3 55.5 1 0.00 6.0 104 99 104 +0 2 Pioneer Square 3 54.0 2 0.20 6.0 96 96 96 +0 3 Willy Meet Again 3 55.5 3 0.45 6.0 104 104 104 +0 4 Gerbera 3 54.0 4 1.35 6.0 98 99 99 +1 5 Bakwena 3 54.5 5 2.85 6.0 92 99 99 +7 6 Buster Barnes 2 55.0 6 2.95 0.0 102 112 112 +10 7 Copper Eagle 2 54.0 7 3.00 0.0 103 110 110 +7 8 The Ultimate King 3 60.0 8 5.00 6.0 113 108 108 -5 9 Choisaanada 2 59.5 9 10.50 0.0 112 119 119 +7 10 King's Express 3 55.0 10 99.99 6.0 102 98 98 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aristotle | 104 | 106 | 104 | +2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Pioneer Square | 96 | 101 | 96 | +5 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Willy Meet Again Line | 104 | 102 | 104 | -2 | 6.0 | ||
| 4 | Gerbera | 98 | 98 | 99 | -1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Bakwena | 92 | 97 | 99 | -2 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Buster Barnes | 102 | 101 | 112 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Copper Eagle | 103 | 100 | 110 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Ultimate King | 113 | 117 | 108 | +9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Choisaanada | 112 | 121 | 119 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | King's Express | 102 | 102 | 98 | +4 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points