Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 27 JANUARY FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Paris Fun
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lapis Lazuli 3 55.5 1 0.00 4.0 57 56 57 +0 2 Paris Fun 2 61.0 2 0.50 0.0 80 80 80 +0 3 Pearl In Her Crown 2 61.0 3 0.55 0.0 68 80 80 +12 4 Can't Catch Me 5 56.5 4 1.25 0.0 59 70 70 +11 5 Spirited Girl 4 58.5 5 1.35 2.5 63 68 68 +5 6 Golden Aspen 6 57.0 6 1.60 0.0 60 70 70 +10 7 Kylie's Angel 3 53.0 7 2.85 4.0 52 53 53 +1 8 Concordia 2 59.0 8 3.25 0.0 73 73 73 +0 9 Together Again 5 53.0 9 3.45 0.0 60 60 60 +0 10 Ghostbuster 4 54.0 10 5.45 2.5 59 56 56 -3 11 Rattle Bag 6 62.5 11 6.95 0.0 71 78 78 +7 12 Madame Pompadour 2 56.5 12 8.55 0.0 59 66 66 +7 13 Mattiazo 4 61.5 13 10.75 2.5 69 71 71 +2 99 On A Jet Plane 3 62.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lapis Lazuli | 57 | 59 | 57 | +2 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Paris Fun Line | 80 | 83 | 80 | +3 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Pearl In Her Crown | 68 | 72 | 80 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Can't Catch Me | 59 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Spirited Girl | 63 | 61 | 68 | -7 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Golden Aspen | 60 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Kylie's Angel | 52 | 60 | 53 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 8 | Concordia | 73 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Together Again | 60 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ghostbuster | 59 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Rattle Bag | 71 | 71 | 78 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Madame Pompadour | 59 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Mattiazo | 69 | 69 | 71 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | On A Jet Plane | - | 71 | 70 | +1 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points