Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Star Crusade
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Double Martini       4    57.0    1    0.00     1.0   60    56           60    +0
2    Napoleon             3    59.5    2    1.80     2.5   70    61           61    -9
3    Star Crusade         5    58.5    3    3.10     0.0   63    63           63    +0
4    Camora               4    58.5    4    3.35     1.0   66    60           60    -6
5    Genie                4    60.0    5    3.85     1.0   66    63           63    -3
6    Don't Touch Me       4    62.0    6    5.05     1.0   70    66           66    -4
7    Brandenburg          7    59.5    7    5.55     0.0   65    63           63    -2
8    Count Marsh          7    55.0    8    6.15     0.0   64    54           54    -10
9    Fists Of Fire        5    58.5    9    6.20     0.0   63    61           61    -2
10   Capetown Affair      5    52.5    10   9.30     0.0   54    49           49    -5
11   Flying Vision        4    50.0    11   9.35     1.0   54    42           44    -10
12   Khanyisa Indlela     3    59.0    12   16.55    2.5   69    57           59    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Double Martini 60 74 60 +14 1.0 -
2 Napoleon 70 72 61 +11 2.5 -
3 Star Crusade Line 63 56 63 -7 0.0
4 Camora 66 81 60 +21 1.0 -
5 Genie 66 62 63 -1 1.0 -
6 Don't Touch Me 70 71 66 +5 1.0 -
7 Brandenburg 65 61 63 -2 0.0 -
8 Count Marsh 64 52 54 -2 0.0 -
9 Fists Of Fire 63 61 61 ✓ Match 0.0 -
10 Capetown Affair 54 59 49 +10 0.0 -
11 Flying Vision 54 51 44 +7 1.0 -
12 Khanyisa Indlela 69 74 59 +15 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points