Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: PAY YOUR MTC SUBS MERIT RATED 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Red Top
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Royal Lytham 4 54.0 1 0.00 2.5 58 53 58 +0 2 Red Top 5 60.0 2 5.00 0.0 70 70 70 +0 3 Battle Of Seattle 2 56.0 3 6.25 0.0 62 62 62 +0 4 Copper Fire 3 55.5 4 7.50 4.0 61 53 53 -8 5 Jet Green 4 52.5 5 8.00 2.5 55 50 50 -5 6 Winchester 2 56.5 6 9.50 0.0 72 63 63 -9 99 Zambezi Sunset 2 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Lytham | 58 | 69 | 58 | +11 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Red Top Line | 70 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Battle Of Seattle | 62 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Copper Fire | 61 | 60 | 53 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 5 | Jet Green | 55 | 54 | 50 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Winchester | 72 | 69 | 63 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Zambezi Sunset | - | 60 | 54 | +6 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points