Official NHA Assessment

Race 4: RACE COAST INCENTIVES POWERED BY Hollywoodbets OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Whatwillbewillbe
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Cedar Point          3    59.0    1    0.00     3.0   73    -3           -     -73
2    Fort Yukon           3    60.5    2    1.00     3.0   76    4            66    -10
3    Vivo Per Lei         3    54.5    3    1.50     3.0   62    -9           52    -10
4    Quiet Place          3    59.5    4    4.00     3.0   74    -1           64    -10
5    Whatwillbewillbe     3    60.5    5    4.40     3.0   -     -            -     +0
6    Bourbon King         3    60.5    6    4.70     3.0   -     -            -     +0
7    Born To Master       3    60.5    7    6.45     3.0   -     -            -     +0
8    Born Of Fire         3    60.5    8    6.55     3.0   -     -            -     +0
9    Sliver Of Sunshine   3    59.5    9    6.75     3.0   74    -2           64    -10
10   Green Point          3    60.5    10   8.25     3.0   -     -            -     +0
11   Royal Dawn           3    49.5    11   8.55     3.0   55    -22          45    -10
99   Ferryman             3    60.5    99   0.00     3.0   -     -            -     +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Cedar Point 73 78 - +78 3.0 -
2 Fort Yukon 76 78 66 +12 3.0 -
3 Vivo Per Lei 62 66 52 +14 3.0 -
4 Quiet Place 74 73 64 +9 3.0 -
5 Whatwillbewillbe Line - 71 - +71 3.0
6 Bourbon King - 75 - +75 3.0 -
7 Born To Master - 59 - +59 3.0 -
8 Born Of Fire - 70 - +70 3.0 -
9 Sliver Of Sunshine 74 66 64 +2 3.0 -
10 Green Point - 61 - +61 3.0 -
11 Royal Dawn 55 55 45 +10 3.0 -
99 Ferryman - - - - 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points