Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
South Of France
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Gin Palace 2 61.5 1 0.00 0.0 80 76 76 -4 2 South Of France 2 61.0 2 1.00 0.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Meg's Legacy 3 59.0 3 1.20 3.0 68 69 69 +1 4 La Landonne 2 61.0 4 1.70 0.0 79 78 78 -1 5 Mighty Mary 2 60.5 5 3.70 0.0 78 75 75 -3 6 Black Path 6 54.0 6 4.00 0.0 58 62 62 +4 7 Playful Joules 2 58.0 7 4.30 0.0 66 69 69 +3 8 Flying South 2 58.5 8 4.80 0.0 74 70 70 -4 9 Money Extractor 3 56.5 9 6.80 3.0 63 60 60 -3 99 Oncidium 2 60.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 74 74 +0 99 Taylor's Version 2 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 68 68 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gin Palace | 80 | 84 | 76 | +8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | South Of France Line | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Meg's Legacy | 68 | 70 | 69 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | La Landonne | 79 | 83 | 78 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Mighty Mary | 78 | 78 | 75 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Black Path | 58 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Playful Joules | 66 | 62 | 69 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Flying South | 74 | 70 | 70 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Money Extractor | 63 | 66 | 60 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Oncidium | - | 76 | 74 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Taylor's Version | - | 72 | 68 | +4 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points