Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: RACING240 MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Guarding The Wall
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
4 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
10 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Volare E Mambo 4 60.0 1 0.00 2.0 73 64 73 +0 2 Guarding The Wall 4 59.5 2 1.25 2.0 67 67 67 +0 3 Pedro 6 61.0 3 1.50 0.0 70 73 73 +3 4 Mr Belvedere 4 55.0 4 2.00 2.0 58 57 57 -1 5 Away With Red 3 57.5 5 2.10 3.0 63 60 60 -3 6 Golden Grey 4 59.0 6 2.15 2.0 66 65 65 -1 7 Mighty Mac 5 51.5 7 2.65 0.0 54 53 53 -1 8 Cheerful Charlie B 3 58.5 8 2.75 3.0 65 61 61 -4 9 Grand Allegro 3 59.0 9 4.50 3.0 66 60 60 -6 10 Travel Master 4 60.5 10 5.75 2.0 69 65 65 -4 11 Silvery Surfer 3 59.0 11 6.00 3.0 74 60 64 -10 12 Mio Destino 2 60.5 12 9.75 0.0 76 69 69 -7 13 Elusive Black 3 60.0 13 19.25 3.0 68 62 62 -6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volare E Mambo | 73 | 76 | 73 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 2 | Guarding The Wall Line | 67 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Pedro | 70 | 72 | 73 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Mr Belvedere | 58 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Away With Red | 63 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Golden Grey | 66 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mighty Mac | 54 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cheerful Charlie B | 65 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Grand Allegro | 66 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Travel Master | 69 | 65 | 65 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | - | |
| 11 | Silvery Surfer | 74 | 72 | 64 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Mio Destino | 76 | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Elusive Black | 68 | 68 | 62 | +6 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points