Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 13 FEBRUARY FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Flower Festival
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Chroniclesofnania    5    55.5    1    0.00     0.0   57    57           57    +0
2    Amanatto             3    59.0    2    0.25     3.0   64    58           58    -6
3    Flower Festival      4    62.0    3    0.75     2.0   70    70           70    +0
4    Sun Spectacular      4    62.5    4    1.25     2.0   71    71           71    +0
5    Royal Mermaid        3    61.0    5    1.75     3.0   68    65           65    -3
6    Physiologus          2    51.5    6    2.75     0.0   57    51           51    -6
7    Shori Kai            3    58.5    7    3.50     3.0   70    58           60    -10
8    Blind Faith          4    54.5    8    4.75     2.0   55    51           51    -4
9    Kilmonivaig          5    56.5    9    4.85     0.0   59    59           59    +0
10   Just One Kiss        2    58.5    10   5.85     0.0   70    63           63    -7
11   Pomodoro Magic       5    52.0    11   6.10     0.0   55    50           50    -5
12   Canford Queen        3    58.0    12   6.85     3.0   62    56           56    -6
13   Lady Luck            4    59.5    13   6.90     2.0   68    61           61    -7
14   Voorsmaakie          2    57.5    14   7.15     0.0   61    61           61    +0
15   Gaelic Dancer        3    60.5    15   15.90    3.0   67    61           61    -6
99   Izanami              3    63.0    99   0.00     3.0   -     66           66    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Chroniclesofnania 57 60 57 +3 0.0 -
2 Amanatto 64 64 58 +6 3.0 -
3 Flower Festival Line 70 70 70 ✓ Match 2.0
4 Sun Spectacular 71 69 71 -2 2.0 -
5 Royal Mermaid 68 70 65 +5 3.0 -
6 Physiologus 57 53 51 +2 0.0 -
7 Shori Kai 70 70 60 +10 3.0 -
8 Blind Faith 55 52 51 +1 2.0 -
9 Kilmonivaig 59 56 59 -3 0.0 -
10 Just One Kiss 70 68 63 +5 0.0 -
11 Pomodoro Magic 55 53 50 +3 0.0 -
12 Canford Queen 62 59 56 +3 3.0 -
13 Lady Luck 68 66 61 +5 2.0 -
14 Voorsmaakie 61 54 61 -7 0.0 -
15 Gaelic Dancer 67 64 61 +3 3.0 -
99 Izanami - 72 66 +6 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points