Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: RACING240 MR 72 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Redlightgreenlight
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Storm Ahead 4 62.0 1 0.00 2.5 76 79 76 +0 2 Force Publique 2 60.0 2 0.25 0.0 82 80 80 -2 3 Naretoi 2 60.5 3 0.35 0.0 73 86 86 +13 4 Redlightgreenlight 2 61.5 4 2.45 0.0 85 85 85 +0 5 Step Into It 2 56.5 5 3.95 0.0 78 74 74 -4 6 Blurred Vision 3 53.0 6 4.45 5.0 57 56 56 -1 7 Unsolved Riddle 3 59.0 7 4.95 5.0 75 68 68 -7 8 Circle Of Grace 4 52.0 8 7.45 2.5 52 59 59 +7 9 Gold De Grace 4 52.0 9 11.75 2.5 50 59 59 +9 10 Red Sparrow 3 53.5 10 12.00 5.0 59 57 57 -2 11 Peace Treaty 3 58.5 11 13.30 5.0 69 67 67 -2 99 Jaffa 3 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Storm Ahead | 76 | 80 | 76 | +4 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Force Publique | 82 | 84 | 80 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Naretoi | 73 | 73 | 86 | -13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Redlightgreenlight Line | 85 | 76 | 85 | -9 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Step Into It | 78 | 76 | 74 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Blurred Vision | 57 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Unsolved Riddle | 75 | 77 | 68 | +9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Circle Of Grace | 52 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Gold De Grace | 50 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Red Sparrow | 59 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Peace Treaty | 69 | 69 | 67 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Jaffa | - | 82 | 70 | +12 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points