Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: INSCON HAWKINS MR 96 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Mill Queen
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bowie 7 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 93 93 93 +0 2 Danilo Danilovitch 3 56.5 2 1.10 3.0 93 83 83 -10 3 Mill Queen 5 60.0 3 2.00 0.0 96 96 96 +0 4 Captain Morisco 4 57.5 4 3.80 3.5 91 84 84 -7 5 Burning Wings 4 58.0 5 4.10 3.5 92 85 85 -7 6 Eskimo Pie 4 56.0 6 4.20 3.5 88 81 81 -7 7 Right Choice 4 51.0 7 4.40 3.5 81 71 71 -10 8 Theory Of Flight 4 58.5 8 4.70 3.5 93 86 86 -7 9 Spanish Boy 5 55.0 9 6.40 0.0 85 86 86 +1 10 Alula's Star 3 60.0 10 6.60 3.0 100 90 90 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bowie | 93 | 82 | 93 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Danilo Danilovitch | 93 | 89 | 83 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Mill Queen Line | 96 | 90 | 96 | -6 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Captain Morisco | 91 | 92 | 84 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Burning Wings | 92 | 64 | 85 | -21 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Eskimo Pie | 88 | 83 | 81 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Right Choice | 81 | 72 | 71 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Theory Of Flight | 93 | 91 | 86 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Spanish Boy | 85 | 84 | 86 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Alula's Star | 100 | 102 | 90 | +12 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points