Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)

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Line Horse
Carriacou
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Boogiefied (AUS)     4    61.0    1    0.00     2.0   84    83           83    -1
2    Show Off             3    57.0    2    0.40     3.0   76    78           78    +2
3    Carriacou            3    58.5    3    1.65     3.0   79    79           79    +0
4    Nightrain            2    57.0    4    1.95     0.0   83    82           82    -1
5    It Is My Time        3    61.0    5    2.25     3.0   84    84           84    +0
6    Gran Canaria         3    57.5    6    4.50     3.0   77    74           74    -3
7    Ireland Forever      2    59.5    7    6.50     0.0   88    84           84    -4
8    San Pedro            5    60.0    8    7.25     0.0   82    85           85    +3
9    Run For Cover        5    57.5    9    10.50    0.0   77    80           80    +3
10   Joshua               3    55.5    10   12.25    3.0   73    70           70    -3
99   Thomas Jenkins       3    57.5    99   0.00     3.0   -     74           74    +0
99   Behave Harris        2    57.0    99   0.00     0.0   -     79           79    +0
99   Marcus Aurelius      2    58.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     82           82    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Boogiefied (AUS) 84 90 83 +7 2.0 -
2 Show Off 76 77 78 -1 3.0 -
3 Carriacou Line 79 78 79 -1 3.0
4 Nightrain 83 83 82 +1 0.0 -
5 It Is My Time 84 88 84 +4 3.0 -
6 Gran Canaria 77 77 74 +3 3.0 -
7 Ireland Forever 88 88 84 +4 0.0 -
8 San Pedro 82 82 85 -3 0.0 -
9 Run For Cover 77 70 80 -10 0.0 -
10 Joshua 73 70 70 ✓ Match 3.0 -
99 Thomas Jenkins - 76 74 +2 3.0 -
99 Behave Harris - 83 79 +4 0.0 -
99 Marcus Aurelius - 85 82 +3 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points