Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: CLASSIC DAY 7 MARCH MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Traditional Belief
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
10 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Traditional Belief 3 56.0 1 0.00 4.5 - - - +0 2 Detailed Forecast 2 60.0 2 1.70 3.0 71 11 61 -10 3 Miraculous Moment 3 60.0 3 3.20 4.5 - 8 8 +8 4 Wispinthewillow 3 58.5 4 3.95 4.5 - 5 5 +5 5 Oh La Amour 3 60.0 5 4.55 4.5 - 8 8 +8 6 Vyfster 3 60.0 6 4.95 4.5 - 8 8 +8 7 Purple Rain 3 60.0 7 6.75 4.5 - 8 8 +8 8 Nothing Compares 2 60.0 8 7.75 3.0 63 11 53 -10 99 Miss Fantastic 3 60.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 8 8 +0 99 Winika 3 60.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 8 8 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Traditional Belief Line | - | 77 | - | +77 | 4.5 | ||
| 2 | Detailed Forecast | 71 | 77 | 61 | +16 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Miraculous Moment | - | - | 8 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Wispinthewillow | - | 71 | 5 | +66 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Oh La Amour | - | - | 8 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Vyfster | - | - | 8 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Purple Rain | - | - | 8 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Nothing Compares | 63 | 59 | 53 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Miss Fantastic | - | - | 8 | -8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Winika | - | 67 | 8 | +59 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points