Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
The Mask
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Who Blinked 3 56.5 1 0.00 4.5 75 72 72 -3 2 The Mask 2 58.0 2 1.80 3.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Gorgeous Guy 2 60.5 3 3.80 3.0 83 83 83 +0 3 Cowboy Country 2 60.5 3 3.80 3.0 89 83 83 -6 5 Dapper 2 55.0 5 4.70 3.0 75 72 72 -3 6 The Marquee 3 58.5 6 4.80 4.5 85 76 76 -9 7 Winter In London 3 57.0 7 5.20 4.5 82 73 73 -9 8 Oklahoma Girl 3 56.5 8 6.60 4.5 81 72 72 -9 9 Cardinal Chief 2 57.5 9 10.80 3.0 86 77 77 -9 10 Moya Wa Laliga 3 59.5 10 10.95 4.5 81 78 78 -3 11 My Boy Lollipop 2 58.5 11 12.15 3.0 79 79 79 +0 12 Henry Harvey 2 61.5 12 12.95 3.0 85 85 85 +0 13 Captain's Pride 2 55.5 13 14.75 3.0 79 73 73 -6 99 Chicarito 3 55.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Who Blinked | 75 | 82 | 72 | +10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | The Mask Line | 78 | 84 | 78 | +6 | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Gorgeous Guy | 83 | 81 | 83 | -2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Cowboy Country | 89 | 84 | 83 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dapper | 75 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | The Marquee | 85 | 85 | 76 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Winter In London | 82 | 80 | 73 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Oklahoma Girl | 81 | 78 | 72 | +6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Cardinal Chief | 86 | 86 | 77 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 10 | Moya Wa Laliga | 81 | 81 | 78 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | My Boy Lollipop | 79 | 79 | 79 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Henry Harvey | 85 | 85 | 85 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Captain's Pride | 79 | 81 | 73 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Chicarito | - | 87 | 70 | +17 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points