Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Dark Silver
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Solar Sail 3 55.5 1 0.00 4.5 80 63 80 +0 2 Dark Silver 4 59.0 2 2.75 2.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Storm Ahead 4 50.5 3 4.55 2.0 69 59 59 -10 4 Crepuscolo 4 52.5 4 5.55 2.0 65 62 62 -3 5 Luthuli 5 60.0 5 5.80 0.0 80 81 81 +1 6 Diesel's Shadow 4 60.5 6 6.50 2.0 81 78 78 -3 7 Celtic Rush 5 57.0 7 9.50 0.0 74 75 75 +1 8 Robert Browning 3 54.5 8 9.70 4.5 78 61 68 -10 9 Taxhaven 4 60.0 9 12.00 2.0 80 77 77 -3 10 High Queue 4 57.5 10 14.00 2.0 75 72 72 -3 99 Irish Love 4 56.0 99 0.00 2.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Solar Sail | 80 | 109 | 80 | +29 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Dark Silver Line | 78 | 84 | 78 | +6 | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Storm Ahead | 69 | 80 | 59 | +21 | 2.0 | - | |
| 4 | Crepuscolo | 65 | 58 | 62 | -4 | 2.0 | - | |
| 5 | Luthuli | 80 | 74 | 81 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Diesel's Shadow | 81 | 80 | 78 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 7 | Celtic Rush | 74 | 69 | 75 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Robert Browning | 78 | 87 | 68 | +19 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Taxhaven | 80 | 96 | 77 | +19 | 2.0 | - | |
| 10 | High Queue | 75 | 74 | 72 | +2 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Irish Love | - | 67 | 69 | -2 | 2.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points