Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: WORLD SPORTS BETTING PINNACLE STAKES (Open)
Line Horse
United Council
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Enflame 3 52.0 1 0.00 6.0 92 87 87 -5 2 United Council 5 52.0 2 1.20 0.0 104 104 104 +0 3 Arumugam 6 52.0 3 3.30 0.0 75 101 101 +26 99 Breeze Over 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 99 99 +0 99 That's Magical 3 49.5 99 0.00 6.0 - 82 82 +0 99 Poets Warrior 5 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 115 115 +0 99 Majalun 3 48.0 99 0.00 6.0 - 79 79 +0 99 Palace Guard 2 50.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 96 96 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Enflame | 92 | 98 | 87 | +11 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | United Council Line | 104 | 100 | 104 | -4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Arumugam | 75 | 74 | 101 | -27 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Breeze Over | - | 99 | 99 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | That's Magical | - | 54 | 82 | -28 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Poets Warrior | - | 114 | 115 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Majalun | - | 56 | 79 | -23 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Palace Guard | - | 68 | 96 | -28 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points