Official NHA Assessment
Race 11: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)
Line Horse
Kliptown
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Spirit 2 59.0 1 0.00 3.0 86 97 92 +6 2 Objet D' Art 2 60.0 2 0.20 3.0 88 99 99 +11 3 Gallic Victor 2 58.0 3 2.20 3.0 84 95 95 +11 4 Kliptown 3 53.5 4 2.25 4.5 83 83 83 +0 5 Mauritius Kestrel 3 60.0 5 2.30 4.5 82 96 96 +14 6 Worldly 2 58.5 6 2.60 3.0 79 96 96 +17 7 Trailfinder 2 58.0 7 4.10 3.0 84 95 95 +11 8 Azzurri 4 57.5 8 5.10 5.0 77 90 90 +13 9 Street Outlaw 5 59.0 9 5.20 0.0 80 103 103 +23 10 Behave Harris 2 57.5 10 8.20 3.0 83 94 94 +11 11 Kelp Forest 5 60.0 11 8.50 0.0 82 105 105 +23 12 Diamond Rock 4 59.5 12 9.50 5.0 81 94 94 +13 13 Paratrooper 4 55.5 13 11.00 5.0 73 86 86 +13 14 Navaseven 3 58.5 14 11.20 4.5 85 93 93 +8 99 Flying Finley 3 61.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 99 99 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spirit | 86 | 91 | 92 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Objet D' Art | 88 | 89 | 99 | -10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Gallic Victor | 84 | 84 | 95 | -11 | 3.0 | - | |
| 4 | Kliptown Line | 83 | 82 | 83 | -1 | 4.5 | ||
| 5 | Mauritius Kestrel | 82 | 82 | 96 | -14 | 4.5 | - | |
| 6 | Worldly | 79 | 78 | 96 | -18 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Trailfinder | 84 | 82 | 95 | -13 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Azzurri | 77 | 77 | 90 | -13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Street Outlaw | 80 | 78 | 103 | -25 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Behave Harris | 83 | 83 | 94 | -11 | 3.0 | - | |
| 11 | Kelp Forest | 82 | 81 | 105 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Diamond Rock | 81 | 78 | 94 | -16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 13 | Paratrooper | 73 | 73 | 86 | -13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Navaseven | 85 | 77 | 93 | -16 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Flying Finley | - | 88 | 99 | -11 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points