Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
Grue Of Ice
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mystique Rouge 3 54.5 1 0.00 4.5 59 53 53 -6 2 Acacia's Blossom 2 57.5 2 0.05 3.0 65 62 62 -3 3 Grue Of Ice 6 50.0 3 0.75 0.0 53 53 53 +0 4 Jazz Diva 3 60.0 4 0.80 4.5 70 64 64 -6 5 Di Rosa 4 54.5 5 1.50 5.0 59 52 52 -7 6 Nebulous 2 59.0 6 1.60 3.0 77 65 67 -10 7 Queen Fenn 3 58.5 7 1.80 4.5 67 61 61 -6 8 Time In Paris 4 56.5 8 2.40 5.0 63 56 56 -7 9 Sovereign Gem 3 59.5 9 3.60 4.5 75 63 65 -10 10 Hearts On Fire 3 57.0 10 3.70 4.5 64 58 58 -6 99 Run For Peace 3 51.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 47 47 +0 99 Scarlet Starlet 3 61.5 99 0.00 4.5 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mystique Rouge | 59 | 62 | 53 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Acacia's Blossom | 65 | 66 | 62 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Grue Of Ice Line | 53 | 53 | 53 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Jazz Diva | 70 | 70 | 64 | +6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Di Rosa | 59 | 54 | 52 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Nebulous | 77 | 77 | 67 | +10 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Queen Fenn | 67 | 67 | 61 | +6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Time In Paris | 63 | 61 | 56 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sovereign Gem | 75 | 75 | 65 | +10 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Hearts On Fire | 64 | 65 | 58 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Run For Peace | - | 54 | 47 | +7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Scarlet Starlet | - | 79 | 67 | +12 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points