Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: FOR HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS CALL 011 681 1796 MIDDLE STAKES (For All Horses)
Line Horse
Plus Four
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Rafa Bay 2 54.0 1 0.00 3.0 89 88 88 -1 2 Magic Tattoo 5 58.0 2 1.50 0.0 95 102 102 +7 3 Plus Four 2 54.0 3 2.50 3.0 88 88 88 +0 4 Mover And Shaker 5 60.0 4 2.75 0.0 109 106 106 -3 5 Twentytwentyvision 2 50.0 5 3.00 3.0 81 80 80 -1 6 Esquevelle 3 54.0 6 5.75 4.5 89 85 85 -4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rafa Bay | 89 | 96 | 88 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Magic Tattoo | 95 | 93 | 102 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Plus Four Line | 88 | 87 | 88 | -1 | 3.0 | ||
| 4 | Mover And Shaker | 109 | 109 | 106 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Twentytwentyvision | 81 | 80 | 80 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Esquevelle | 89 | 86 | 85 | +1 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points