Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: SA DERBY 4 APRIL FM 84 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Mystical Miss
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Precocious 2 58.0 1 0.00 3.0 94 86 94 +0 2 Mystical Miss 2 56.5 2 2.00 3.0 83 83 83 +0 3 Valieva 3 57.5 3 3.25 4.5 79 82 82 +3 4 Maverick Queen 3 56.5 4 3.55 4.5 77 80 80 +3 5 Jazz Pianist 2 56.0 5 3.75 3.0 82 82 82 +0 6 Plumbago Park 2 55.0 6 5.25 3.0 79 80 80 +1 7 Amazonian 2 55.5 7 7.25 3.0 81 81 81 +0 8 Bosum Buddy 3 61.0 8 7.55 4.5 86 89 89 +3 99 Gaslight Dancer 2 57.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 85 85 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Precocious | 94 | 106 | 94 | +12 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mystical Miss Line | 83 | 83 | 83 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 3 | Valieva | 79 | 78 | 82 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 4 | Maverick Queen | 77 | 76 | 80 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Jazz Pianist | 82 | 79 | 82 | -3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Plumbago Park | 79 | 72 | 80 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Amazonian | 81 | 73 | 81 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Bosum Buddy | 86 | 85 | 89 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Gaslight Dancer | - | 85 | 85 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points