Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: BET WITH TOTE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Manikongo (AUS)
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Wander Skitt 2 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 63 63 63 +0 2 Devil's Peak 3 53.0 2 1.10 5.0 66 52 56 -10 3 Catrien 3 52.0 3 1.90 5.0 60 49 50 -10 4 Manikongo (AUS) 3 56.5 4 4.60 5.0 55 55 55 +0 5 Etzebeth 3 60.5 5 7.50 5.0 - 63 63 +63 6 Irish Anthem 3 58.5 6 12.00 5.0 59 59 59 +0 7 Captain Lightning 2 57.0 7 12.40 0.0 71 66 66 -5 99 Seafarer 3 54.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 51 51 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wander Skitt | 63 | 72 | 63 | +9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Devil's Peak | 66 | 72 | 56 | +16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 3 | Catrien | 60 | 60 | 50 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Manikongo (AUS) Line | 55 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 5 | Etzebeth | - | 75 | 63 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Irish Anthem | 59 | 60 | 59 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Captain Lightning | 71 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Seafarer | - | 69 | 51 | +18 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points