Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE APPRENTICE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 70)
Line Horse
In The Bag
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Indecent Proposal 4 52.0 1 0.00 5.0 62 62 62 +0 2 In The Bag 4 51.5 2 0.60 5.0 61 61 61 +0 3 One Irish Rover 5 56.0 3 0.85 0.0 65 80 80 +15 4 Professor Lupin 4 56.0 4 1.65 5.0 67 70 70 +3 5 Ultra Quick 6 58.5 5 2.25 0.0 72 85 85 +13 6 Heaven's Will 3 59.5 6 2.35 4.5 69 78 78 +9 7 Mask On 3 50.0 7 3.05 4.5 54 59 59 +5 8 Ruby Claire 3 48.5 8 3.85 4.5 55 56 56 +1 9 Catavar 4 58.5 9 3.90 5.0 67 75 75 +8 99 Ilha Da Orange 4 58.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 75 75 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indecent Proposal | 62 | 65 | 62 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | In The Bag Line | 61 | 61 | 61 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | One Irish Rover | 65 | 65 | 80 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Professor Lupin | 67 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Ultra Quick | 72 | 71 | 85 | -14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Heaven's Will | 69 | 62 | 78 | -16 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Mask On | 54 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 4.5 | - | |
| 8 | Ruby Claire | 55 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Catavar | 67 | 64 | 75 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Ilha Da Orange | - | 75 | 75 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points