Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 4 (F & M) (For Fillies & Mares. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 82)

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Line Horse
Dawn Surprise
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Queen Braganza       3    57.0    1    0.00     3.5   89    85           85    -4
2    Captain's Pride      2    54.5    2    1.30     2.5   79    82           82    +3
3    Dawn Surprise        4    54.5    3    2.35     4.0   79    79           79    +0
4    Sign Of Fate         4    56.0    4    4.95     4.0   79    82           82    +3
5    Shimmering           2    52.0    5    5.35     2.5   74    77           77    +3
6    Sugarbush            3    55.0    6    7.15     3.5   72    81           81    +9
7    Moscow Miss          2    55.0    7    7.65     2.5   76    83           83    +7
8    Bella Valentina      3    58.0    8    11.45    3.5   83    87           87    +4
99   Saragossa Cat (ARG)  2    60.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     93           93    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Queen Braganza 89 94 85 +9 3.5 -
2 Captain's Pride 79 81 82 -1 2.5 -
3 Dawn Surprise Line 79 79 79 ✓ Match 4.0
4 Sign Of Fate 79 74 82 -8 4.0 -
5 Shimmering 74 74 77 -3 2.5 -
6 Sugarbush 72 72 81 -9 3.5 -
7 Moscow Miss 76 72 83 -11 2.5 -
8 Bella Valentina 83 81 87 -6 3.5 -
99 Saragossa Cat (ARG) - 87 93 -6 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points