Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: Hollywoodbets DURBANVILLE WELCOMES YOU MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Fort Yukon
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Fort Yukon 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.0 78 78 78 +0 2 Bourbon King 3 60.0 2 1.75 3.0 - 81 81 +81 3 Love From Afar 2 60.0 3 4.25 0.0 65 85 85 +20 4 Takethegreenlight 3 60.0 4 4.35 3.0 - 78 78 +78 5 From The Get Go 3 60.0 5 7.10 3.0 - 78 78 +78 6 Master Coiner 3 60.0 6 8.10 3.0 - 78 78 +78 99 Nomore Bullets 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 84 84 +0 99 Super Viking 3 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 78 78 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Yukon Line | 78 | 78 | 78 | ✓ Match | 3.0 | ||
| 2 | Bourbon King | - | 75 | 81 | -6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Love From Afar | 65 | 69 | 85 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Takethegreenlight | - | 69 | 78 | -9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | From The Get Go | - | 70 | 78 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Master Coiner | - | - | 78 | -78 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Nomore Bullets | - | 73 | 84 | -11 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Super Viking | - | 77 | 78 | -1 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points