Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Autumn Rush
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Vivo Per Lei 3 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 62 77 68 +6 2 Fate Of Pace 3 60.0 2 3.00 2.5 50 79 79 +29 3 Theleia 3 60.0 3 3.40 2.5 77 78 78 +1 4 Autumn Rush 3 56.0 4 4.15 2.5 70 70 70 +0 5 Meghan's Diamond 2 60.0 5 5.15 0.0 78 82 82 +4 6 Nicci's Law 2 60.0 6 5.25 0.0 69 82 82 +13 7 Sparkling Sky 3 60.0 7 8.75 2.5 - 77 77 +77 8 Half Full 2 60.0 8 14.25 0.0 62 82 82 +20 9 Font Of Dreams 3 60.0 9 16.75 2.5 - 77 77 +77 99 Kim Chanel 3 60.0 99 0.00 2.5 - 77 77 +0 99 Homing Pigeon 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vivo Per Lei | 62 | 66 | 68 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Fate Of Pace | 50 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Theleia | 77 | 76 | 78 | -2 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Autumn Rush Line | 70 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 2.5 | ||
| 5 | Meghan's Diamond | 78 | 76 | 82 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Nicci's Law | 69 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sparkling Sky | - | - | 77 | -77 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Half Full | 62 | 60 | 82 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Font Of Dreams | - | 55 | 77 | -22 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Kim Chanel | - | 58 | 77 | -19 | 2.5 | - | |
| 99 | Homing Pigeon | - | 77 | 82 | -5 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points