Official NHA Assessment
Race 9: TAB 4RACING APP MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Nkandla Gold
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Pivotal Role 3 61.0 1 0.00 3.5 81 77 81 +0 2 Blindfire 2 55.5 2 0.90 2.5 78 68 68 -10 3 Sergeant Soqrat 2 57.0 3 2.10 2.5 73 71 71 -2 4 Nkandla Gold 4 54.5 4 2.30 4.0 63 63 63 +0 5 Oriental Bouquet 4 49.5 5 2.35 4.0 55 53 53 -2 6 Palace Revolt 2 56.0 6 2.40 2.5 66 69 69 +3 7 Tiger Storm 3 57.5 7 7.90 3.5 69 70 70 +1 99 Inafix 4 57.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pivotal Role | 81 | 87 | 81 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Blindfire | 78 | 81 | 68 | +13 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Sergeant Soqrat | 73 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Nkandla Gold Line | 63 | 63 | 63 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | ||
| 5 | Oriental Bouquet | 55 | 56 | 53 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Palace Revolt | 66 | 64 | 69 | -5 | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Tiger Storm | 69 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 99 | Inafix | - | 69 | 69 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points