Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 24 MARCH MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Michael Faraday
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lava Fire 3 55.5 1 0.00 3.0 65 64 65 +0 2 Kylie's Angel 3 49.5 2 0.20 3.0 52 52 52 +0 3 Michael Faraday 2 53.5 3 1.60 0.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Elusive Red 3 59.0 4 1.65 3.0 78 74 74 -4 5 Trail Runner 3 60.5 5 2.75 3.0 75 76 76 +1 6 Brave Viking 5 58.5 6 2.80 0.0 74 78 78 +4 7 Hubertus Hunt 2 58.5 7 3.10 0.0 77 78 78 +1 8 Longsword 2 59.5 8 3.30 0.0 73 79 79 +6 9 Vava Vegas 5 53.0 9 5.20 0.0 60 65 65 +5 10 Ready Set Fire 2 57.5 10 9.70 0.0 69 74 74 +5 99 Single Combat 3 59.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 72 72 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lava Fire | 65 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Kylie's Angel | 52 | 60 | 52 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 3 | Michael Faraday Line | 69 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Elusive Red | 78 | 76 | 74 | +2 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Trail Runner | 75 | 75 | 76 | -1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 6 | Brave Viking | 74 | 72 | 78 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Hubertus Hunt | 77 | 75 | 78 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Longsword | 73 | 72 | 79 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Vava Vegas | 60 | 58 | 65 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ready Set Fire | 69 | 69 | 74 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Single Combat | - | 79 | 72 | +7 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points