Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: RACING240 NOVICE HANDICAP (Maidens & 1 time winners)
Line Horse
Dupont Emerald
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
1 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 One Dance 3 58.0 1 0.00 3.5 77 77 77 +0 2 Lotus Silk 3 59.0 2 0.50 3.5 84 79 79 -5 3 Dupont Emerald 3 58.0 3 2.75 3.5 77 77 77 +0 4 Overture 3 57.5 4 3.50 3.5 81 76 76 -5 5 Chief Runner 3 50.5 5 3.55 3.5 59 62 62 +3 6 Originator 4 53.5 6 4.30 4.0 67 67 67 +0 7 Tower Of London 2 53.0 7 4.80 2.5 72 69 69 -3 8 Mio Destino 2 53.5 8 8.30 2.5 73 70 70 -3 9 Brooksider 3 49.5 9 9.05 3.5 58 60 60 +2 10 American Matador 3 55.0 10 11.05 3.5 71 71 71 +0 11 Key News 2 60.0 11 11.55 2.5 81 83 83 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Dance | 77 | 82 | 77 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Lotus Silk | 84 | 87 | 79 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Dupont Emerald Line | 77 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 4 | Overture | 81 | 81 | 76 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Chief Runner | 59 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Originator | 67 | 67 | 67 | ✓ Match | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Tower Of London | 72 | 70 | 69 | +1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | Mio Destino | 73 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Brooksider | 58 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | American Matador | 71 | 71 | 71 | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Key News | 81 | 81 | 83 | -2 | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points