Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: FIRST MUTUAL MERIT RATED 70 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Kagura
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sally Port 2 57.0 1 0.00 0.0 73 66 73 +0 2 Ono No Komachi 3 54.0 2 0.75 4.5 58 55 55 -3 3 Kagura 4 61.0 3 2.75 2.0 72 72 72 +0 4 Aerial Display 5 59.5 4 3.50 0.0 69 72 72 +3 5 Empire Blue 4 61.0 5 7.00 2.0 72 70 70 -2 6 Prince Of Denmark 4 52.0 6 7.75 2.0 52 52 52 +0 99 Fearless Bomber 3 52.0 99 0.00 4.5 - 47 47 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sally Port | 73 | 79 | 73 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Ono No Komachi | 58 | 66 | 55 | +11 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Kagura Line | 72 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 4 | Aerial Display | 69 | 68 | 72 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Empire Blue | 72 | 71 | 70 | +1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Prince Of Denmark | 52 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 2.0 | - | |
| 99 | Fearless Bomber | - | 56 | 47 | +9 | 4.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points