Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: LUCKY FISH NEW FORTUNE MAIDEN JUVENILE PLATE (For 2 yo R100 000 Win BSA / RCS Bonus)
Line Horse
None identified
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
0 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Flamethrower 2 60.0 1 0.00 2.5 - - - +0 2 Quest Of Valor 2 58.5 2 0.30 2.5 - - - +0 3 One Pepper 2 60.0 3 1.90 2.5 - - - +0 4 Riff Raff Boy 2 60.0 4 2.15 2.5 - - - +0 5 Bold Pursuit 2 56.0 5 2.35 2.5 - - - +0 6 Tommy Greaney 2 60.0 6 6.85 2.5 - - - +0 7 Captain Josh 2 60.0 7 7.65 2.5 - - - +0 8 The Flat Cat 2 60.0 8 8.05 2.5 - - - +0 9 Nightmareonelmst 2 57.5 9 9.25 2.5 - - - +0 10 Golden Ratio 2 60.0 10 14.45 2.5 - - - +0 11 Prince Of Rabada 2 58.5 11 15.75 2.5 - - - +0 12 Arkadin 2 60.0 12 15.95 2.5 - - - +0 13 African Ruby 2 60.0 13 16.95 2.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamethrower | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 2 | Quest Of Valor | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | One Pepper | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Riff Raff Boy | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 5 | Bold Pursuit | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 6 | Tommy Greaney | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 7 | Captain Josh | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | The Flat Cat | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 9 | Nightmareonelmst | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 10 | Golden Ratio | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | Prince Of Rabada | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 12 | Arkadin | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - | |
| 13 | African Ruby | - | - | - | - | 2.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points