Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: JOIN THE SOCIAL SQUAD SYNDICATE TODAY www.socialsquad.co.za MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens)
Line Horse
Fire Force
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Stampede Ahead 2 56.5 1 0.00 0.0 65 60 60 -5 2 Fire Force 4 58.5 2 5.70 2.0 60 60 60 +0 3 Cali Bullet 3 52.5 3 6.10 5.0 72 42 62 -10 4 Osmium 3 60.0 4 11.80 5.0 60 57 57 -3 5 Can We Start 4 56.5 5 19.10 2.0 - 56 56 +56 6 Baltic Assayer 2 55.0 6 21.50 0.0 53 57 57 +4 7 Manikongo (AUS) 3 60.0 7 37.80 5.0 55 57 57 +2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stampede Ahead | 65 | 76 | 60 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Fire Force Line | 60 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 2.0 | ||
| 3 | Cali Bullet | 72 | 70 | 62 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Osmium | 60 | 59 | 57 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Can We Start | - | 59 | 56 | +3 | 2.0 | - | |
| 6 | Baltic Assayer | 53 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Manikongo (AUS) | 55 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points