Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 14 MARCH MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Princess Lola
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
6 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Sunset Warrior 2 60.0 1 0.00 0.0 72 63 72 +0 2 Golden Aspen 6 59.0 2 0.70 0.0 64 66 66 +2 3 Princess Lola 2 57.0 3 1.40 0.0 60 60 60 +0 4 Prophet 2 60.0 4 1.50 0.0 66 66 66 +0 5 Commander Of All 2 56.0 5 1.80 0.0 58 58 58 +0 6 Bay Empire 2 59.0 6 2.50 0.0 64 63 63 -1 7 Northern Kitten 3 57.0 7 3.25 3.0 68 53 58 -10 8 Kotinos 3 58.5 8 4.05 3.0 63 55 55 -8 9 Circle Of Grace 4 50.5 9 5.15 1.5 52 41 42 -10 10 Zoombomber 2 57.0 10 5.20 0.0 60 57 57 -3 11 Last Ginger 4 58.5 11 5.90 1.5 66 57 57 -9 12 Sergeant Soqrat 2 60.5 12 9.70 0.0 73 64 64 -9 13 King Bluetooth 2 52.0 13 11.20 0.0 55 47 47 -8 14 Can't Catch Me 5 56.5 14 12.60 0.0 59 56 56 -3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sunset Warrior | 72 | 76 | 72 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Golden Aspen | 64 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Princess Lola Line | 60 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Prophet | 66 | 66 | 66 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Commander Of All | 58 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bay Empire | 64 | 62 | 63 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Northern Kitten | 68 | 67 | 58 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 8 | Kotinos | 63 | 59 | 55 | +4 | 3.0 | - | |
| 9 | Circle Of Grace | 52 | 51 | 42 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | Zoombomber | 60 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Last Ginger | 66 | 64 | 57 | +7 | 1.5 | - | |
| 12 | Sergeant Soqrat | 73 | 71 | 64 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | King Bluetooth | 55 | 53 | 47 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Can't Catch Me | 59 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points