Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: ORMOND FERRARIS OAKS TRIAL (For 3 year-old Fillies - Non-Black Type)
Line Horse
Ethical
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
7 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Curious Girl 3 60.0 1 0.00 4.5 86 76 76 -10 2 Into Dancing 2 58.5 2 5.75 0.0 83 82 82 -1 3 Ethical 2 60.0 3 7.25 0.0 85 85 85 +0 4 Scarlet O'Hara 3 58.5 4 7.50 4.5 80 73 73 -7 5 Lady Blunt 2 60.0 5 8.25 0.0 88 85 85 -3 6 Reece's Wish 3 58.5 6 9.45 4.5 82 73 73 -9 7 Special Star 2 58.5 7 9.75 0.0 82 82 82 +0 8 Shadowline 3 57.0 8 10.00 4.5 78 70 70 -8 9 Alta Capitana 2 58.5 9 10.25 0.0 82 82 82 +0 10 Apostrophe 3 57.0 10 14.00 4.5 76 70 70 -6 11 Top Shelf Teddy 2 58.5 11 19.25 0.0 80 82 82 +2 12 Littlemisssplendid 2 58.5 12 21.00 0.0 84 82 82 -2 13 Clouds Clearing 2 55.5 13 21.50 0.0 74 76 76 +2 14 Amazon Queen 3 58.5 14 26.50 4.5 81 73 73 -8 99 Babette's Feast 2 58.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curious Girl | 86 | 92 | 76 | +16 | 4.5 | - | |
| 2 | Into Dancing | 83 | 85 | 82 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Ethical Line | 85 | 85 | 85 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Scarlet O'Hara | 80 | 82 | 73 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Lady Blunt | 88 | 88 | 85 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Reece's Wish | 82 | 82 | 73 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Special Star | 82 | 82 | 82 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Shadowline | 78 | 78 | 70 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Alta Capitana | 82 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Apostrophe | 76 | 74 | 70 | +4 | 4.5 | - | |
| 11 | Top Shelf Teddy | 80 | 80 | 82 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Littlemisssplendid | 84 | 84 | 82 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Clouds Clearing | 74 | 74 | 76 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Amazon Queen | 81 | 81 | 73 | +8 | 4.5 | - | |
| 99 | Babette's Feast | - | 81 | 82 | -1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points