Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE D STAKES (For All Horses)

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Line Horse
Axis Power
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Jane's Vision        2    56.0    1    0.00     2.5   63    65           65    +2
1    Call Of The Karoo    2    62.0    1    0.00     2.5   77    77           77    +0
3    Axis Power           3    58.5    3    0.30     3.5   68    68           68    +0
4    Lunch Money          3    61.0    4    1.35     3.5   70    73           73    +3
5    Night Tiger          5    62.0    5    1.40     0.0   67    82           82    +15
6    Trafalgar Square     6    63.0    6    2.00     0.0   69    84           84    +15
7    Little Cracker       3    60.0    7    2.15     3.5   62    71           71    +9
8    Cappellino           3    60.0    8    2.45     3.5   61    71           71    +10
9    In The Bag           4    60.0    9    2.85     4.0   61    70           70    +9
10   Catavar              4    61.5    10   3.35     4.0   66    73           73    +7
11   Purple Powahouse     8    57.0    11   3.85     0.0   55    72           72    +17
12   Barry Du Grond       3    62.0    12   4.00     3.5   67    75           75    +8
99   Arverni Princess     2    57.0    99   0.00     2.5   -     67           67    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Jane's Vision 63 65 65 ✓ Match 2.5 -
1 Call Of The Karoo 77 79 77 +2 2.5 -
3 Axis Power Line 68 68 68 ✓ Match 3.5
4 Lunch Money 70 70 73 -3 3.5 -
5 Night Tiger 67 67 82 -15 0.0 -
6 Trafalgar Square 69 69 84 -15 0.0 -
7 Little Cracker 62 61 71 -10 3.5 -
8 Cappellino 61 61 71 -10 3.5 -
9 In The Bag 61 61 70 -9 4.0 -
10 Catavar 66 64 73 -9 4.0 -
11 Purple Powahouse 55 55 72 -17 0.0 -
12 Barry Du Grond 67 67 75 -8 3.5 -
99 Arverni Princess - 67 67 ✓ Match 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points