Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: RACING TODAY MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies & Mares)
Line Horse
Takeachanceonme
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
3 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Trip Of Faith 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 - - - +0 2 Without Remorse 2 60.0 2 1.50 2.5 72 2 62 -10 3 Erik's Girl 2 56.0 3 4.25 2.5 53 -6 43 -10 4 Miss River Dancer 3 60.0 4 5.00 3.5 - - - +0 5 Takeachanceonme 3 60.0 5 5.40 3.5 - - - +0 6 Asminderod 3 60.0 6 5.65 3.5 69 - 64 -5 7 Gathering Winter 2 60.0 7 6.35 2.5 68 2 58 -10 8 La Flyer 3 58.5 8 6.40 3.5 - -3 - +0 9 Ruby From Heaven 3 60.0 9 7.90 3.5 59 - 51 -8 10 Money Galore 2 57.5 10 8.10 2.5 63 -3 53 -10 11 One Rose 3 60.0 11 99.99 3.5 - - - +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trip Of Faith | - | 79 | - | +79 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Without Remorse | 72 | 76 | 62 | +14 | 2.5 | - | |
| 3 | Erik's Girl | 53 | 67 | 43 | +24 | 2.5 | - | |
| 4 | Miss River Dancer | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Takeachanceonme Line | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 3.5 | ||
| 6 | Asminderod | 69 | 66 | 64 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Gathering Winter | 68 | 68 | 58 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 8 | La Flyer | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 3.5 | - | |
| 9 | Ruby From Heaven | 59 | 59 | 51 | +8 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Money Galore | 63 | 63 | 53 | +10 | 2.5 | - | |
| 11 | One Rose | - | 20 | - | +20 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points